2026 · WEEK 11 · UPDATED  

The Fade Board

Every FBS game left to play. Upset = how shaky the favorite looks. Watch = how good the game should be.

Upset watch · 23 games
#MatchupLineWhy it's flaggedUpsetWatch
01
8Tennessee7-2
Texas A&M4-5
TENN -1.5  · ESPNLook-ahead · Letdown · Sandwich59FADE54% upset63
02
Kansas St4-5
TCU4-5
TCU -13.5  · ESPNULook-ahead · Letdown · Sandwich57FADE22% upset28
03
Florida5-4
11Kentucky7-2
UK -3  · ESPNLook-ahead · Letdown · Sandwich57FADE45% upset62
04
6Texas7-2
21LSU6-3
LSU -4.5  · ABCLook-ahead · Letdown · Sandwich57FADE41% upset73
05
13Wake Forest8-1
SMU7-2
SMU -1.5  · ESPNLook-ahead · Model dissent · Ratings favor the dog53FADE54% upset63
06
22Missouri6-3
1Georgia8-1
UGA -16.5  · ABCLook-ahead · Letdown · Sandwich49WATCH15% upset41
07
Kansas3-6
West Virginia5-4
WVU -2.5  · ESPN2Look-ahead · Letdown · Sandwich49WATCH47% upset45
08
17South Carolina6-3
Arkansas3-6
SC -7.5  · SEC NetworkLook-ahead · Road favorite · Live number48WATCH27% upset45
09
19Ole Miss6-3
Oklahoma5-4
OU -2.5  · SEC NetworkModel dissent · Letdown · Ratings favor the dog47WATCH47% upset57
10
Auburn5-4
Mississippi St4-5
AUB -2.5 Model dissent · Ratings favor the dog · Road favorite43WATCH45% upset46
11
Stanford4-5
Virginia Tech6-3
VT -15.5  · ACC NetworkLook-ahead · Chaos weather · Dog off a bye43WATCH15% upset21
12
Tulane4-5
Rice1-8
RICE -3  · ESPN+Model dissent · Ratings favor the dog · Live number41WATCH43% upset44
13
3Alabama7-2
Vanderbilt4-5
ALA -14  · SEC NetworkLetdown · Road favorite · Live number37WATCH14% upset33
14
Nebraska5-4
Rutgers2-7
NEB -15.5  · BTNLook-ahead · Road favorite35WATCH15% upset20
15
California3-6
Virginia4-5
UVA -11.5  · ACC NetworkLetdown · Dog off a bye · Live number35WATCH21% upset27
16
Washington5-4
Michigan St3-6
WASH -2.5  · BTNLook-ahead · Road favorite35WATCH44% upset46
17
2Utah9-0
23Arizona7-2
UTAH -1.5  · FoxLetdown · Road favorite · Road night game34WATCH48% upset68
18
Duke7-2
7Miami8-1
MIA -13.5  · ABCLetdown · Live number · Live dog33WATCH18% upset37
19
Northwestern6-3
20Ohio State6-3
OSU -14  · FoxLetdown · Live number · Live dog33WATCH18% upset33
20
Baylor6-3
10BYU7-2
BYU -8.5  · FoxLetdown · Live number · Live dog33WATCH26% upset43
21
Louisville6-3
North Carolina5-4
LOU -3.5  · ESPN2Road favorite · Live number · Road night game28WATCH39% upset43
22
Utah State4-5
San Diego St4-5
USU -2.5  · USA NetRoad favorite · Dog off a bye · Road night game28WATCH41% upset45
23
Wyoming6-3
UTEP1-8
WYO -7  · FS1Road favorite · Live number · Road night game28WATCH27% upset36