Playoff bracket

A projected 12-team field and every team's chances, round by round, from live prediction-market prices. Not the official seeding.

Looking safe

Georgia96%Notre Dame93%Alabama92%

On the bubble

Miami87%Utah84%Indiana79%UCLA79%Texas72%Boise State63%Tennessee48%Wake Forest44%BYU33%Iowa30%

Chance to make the 12-team playoff.

First round

Chance to reach the quarterfinals

8UCLA59%9Tennessee31%

5Indiana73%12Boise State–

7Utah69%10Wake Forest–

6Texas63%11BYU14%

Quarterfinals

Chance to reach the semifinals

1Georgia70%8UCLA23%

4Miami48%5Indiana38%

2Notre Dame56%7Utah22%

3Alabama51%6Texas31%

Semifinals

Chance to reach the final

1Georgia49%4Miami22%

2Notre Dame35%3Alabama24%

Final

Chance to win the title

1Georgia31%2Notre Dame17%

Projected championGeorgia31% to win it all

Seeds 1 to 4 get first-round byes. The team in bold is the one the market favors to advance.

Round-by-round odds

TeamMake playoffReach quartersReach semisReach finalWin title

Georgia96%89%70%49%31%Notre Dame93%88%56%35%17%Alabama92%70%51%24%12%Miami87%77%48%22%9%Indiana79%73%38%17%8%Texas72%63%31%16%8%Utah84%69%22%17%4%LSU29%17%10%7%4%UCLA79%59%23%11%3%Tennessee48%31%16%9%2%Wake Forest44%–––2%Oregon29%14%12%8%2%BYU33%14%4%4%1%Iowa30%18%20%4%1%Texas Tech29%22%3%4%1%Ole Miss27%10%5%1%1%Kentucky25%17%16%5%1%Houston20%11%–5%1%USC18%15%10%4%1%Ohio State17%13%5%3%1%South Carolina14%6%10%4%1%Arizona10%––2%1%SMU8%11%22%2%1%Louisville6%7%–2%1%Oklahoma State5%1%22%3%1%

Source: Kalshi prediction markets, updated through the day.