HOW IT WORKS

How TapeDog
works.

TapeDog scores every FBS game for upset risk. It checks odds at six sportsbooks, prediction markets, schedule spots, rest and weather, then tells you which favorites to fade and which games are worth watching.

13data sources
11red-flag checks
0–99Tape Score
FADEor WATCH or HOLD
WHY IT'S DIFFERENT
Spot, not strength

Power ratings tell you who's better. TapeDog tells you who's in a bad spot this week.

Every number, shopped

Six sportsbooks, the opening line, a prediction market and ESPN's model, side by side.

AI that shows its work

Breakdowns use only the data on the page plus what fans and media are saying. No made-up picks.

THE RED FLAGS

The 11 red flags

Points add up to the Tape Score.

0–27 HOLD
28–49 WATCH
50+ FADE
+20Look-aheadRanked opponent next week
+16Model dissentESPN FPI disagrees with the books
+8 to +12Ratings gapPower ratings say the game is closer than the line
+14LetdownComing off a ranked opponent
+12Line slidingSpread moved toward the underdog
+10Road favoriteFavored on the road
+10SandwichRanked teams on both sides
+10Chaos weatherWind, rain or cold at kickoff
+8Market doubtKalshi lower on the favorite than books
+8Rest edgeShort week for fav or bye for dog
−12Big cushionSpread of 24 or more
FEATURES
DATA SOURCES
ESPN ↗Schedules, scores, rankings, win model
DraftKingsSpreads, totals, moneylines
FanDuelSpreads, totals, moneylines
BetMGMSpreads, totals, moneylines
CaesarsSpreads, totals, moneylines
bet365Spreads, totals, moneylines
BetRiversSpreads, totals, moneylines
Action NetworkOpening line and bets tracked
KalshiPrediction-market win odds
PolymarketSecond prediction market for title odds
ESPN FPI ↗Team power ratings, efficiency and projectionsOpen-Meteo ↗Kickoff-hour weather at the stadiumBluesky ↗Posts from reporters and analysts in The BuzzGoogle News ↗Game headlinesESPN video ↗Highlights and game recapsGemini ↗Writes the AI breakdown

ODDS REFRESH EVERY 15 MIN · LIVE SCORES EVERY 20 SEC · RUNS ITSELF

Open the Fade Board →Meet the founder →