1 games live now

Find the favorites
worth fading.

TapeDog rates every college football favorite for upset risk, explains why in plain English, and tracks every game live.

Download on the App StoreOpen the Fade Board
48% of flagged favorites lostFree · no accountEvery FBS game
693games graded this season
48%of FADE favorites lost
31%what the betting lines expected
67FBS games tracked this week

Live now

All scores
HalftimeESPN
Florida St6
Pitt7

Top upset spots

Full board
Upset of the weekFADE
over

Texas A&M over No. 8 Tennessee

TENN -1.5 ·   · ESPN

54%upset chance

Look-ahead · Letdown

Upset spot #2FADE
over

Kansas St over TCU

TCU -13.5 ·   · ESPNU

22%upset chance

Look-ahead · Letdown

Upset spot #3FADE
over

Florida over No. 11 Kentucky

UK -3 ·   · ESPN

45%upset chance

Look-ahead · Letdown

More on the board

Texas over No. 21 LSU  · LSU -4.541%Wake Forest over SMU  · SMU -1.552%Missouri over No. 1 Georgia  · UGA -16.515%Kansas over West Virginia  · WVU -2.547%Arkansas over No. 17 South Carolina  · SC -7.527%Ole Miss over Oklahoma  · OU -2.547%California over Virginia  · UVA -10.523%Mississippi St over Auburn  · AUB -2.545%

How TapeDog works

Full method
1Every favorite gets a TAPE score

From 0 to 99. The higher it is, the shakier the favorite looks this week.

2We show our work

Each game lists the reasons in plain English, next to what the sportsbooks and Kalshi think.

3Scores of 50+ get flagged

Those are FADE games: favorites with the most ways to slip. Then we grade every call after the final.

Inside a TAPE score

Tennessee vs Texas A&M, this week

Look-ahead+20
Letdown+14
Sandwich+10
Road favorite+10
TAPE score59 · FADE

What adds points: a big game next week, a letdown after a big win, road trips, short rest and a line moving toward the underdog.

Our track record

48%of our flagged favorites lost
31%expected by the betting lines

27 graded games this season. That's a small sample, so treat it as early evidence. Every pick is now also saved before kickoff and graded after, so the live record can't be edited.

See every call →

What's on TapeDog

Fade BoardEvery game ranked by upset risk.Live scoresEvery FBS game, with drive charts and win chances.Score TrackerYour games on one screen, built for game day.ReelsThe week's best plays, one swipe at a time.Rankings & oddsThe polls, title odds, Heisman and the coaching hot seat.Playoff bracketThe projected 12-team field and each team's chances.

Where the numbers come from

  • ESPNScores, schedules, stats, rankings and power ratings
  • SportsbooksBetting lines from six books, via Action Network
  • KalshiPrediction-market prices for games and titles
  • Open-MeteoGame-day weather
  • Google News and BlueskyHeadlines and reporter posts

Questions

Is this betting advice?

No. TapeDog is for entertainment and information. We don't take bets, link to sportsbooks or sell picks.

How often does it update?

Lines and scores refresh every few minutes, and live games every few seconds.

Does a FADE mean the favorite will lose?

No. Most favorites still win. A FADE means the favorite is more likely than usual to slip.

Is it free?

Yes, the site and the iPhone app are free, with no account needed.

TapeDog for iPhone

Live scores on your Lock Screen, upset alerts and a daily brief.

Download on the App Store
TapeDog for iPhone